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John Van Reenen, MIT Print
Monday, 15 October 2018, 16:30 - 18:00

NBB, KUL, UA, UCL, UGhent, UHasselt, ULB, ULg and UMons Joint Seminar

John Van Reenen, MIT

The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms

Abstract : The fall of labor’s share of GDP in the United States and many other countries in recent decades is well documented but its causes remain uncertain. Existing empirical assessments of trends in labor’s share typically have relied on industry or macro data, obscuring heterogeneity among firms. In this paper, we analyze micro panel data from the U.S. Economic Census since 1982 and international sources and document empirical patterns to assess a new interpretation of the fall in the labor share based on the rise of “superstar firms.” If globalization or technological changes advantage the most productive firms in each industry, product market concentration will rise as industries become increasingly dominated by superstar firms with high profits and a low share of labor in firm value-added and sales. As the importance of superstar firms increases, the aggregate labor share will tend to fall. Our hypothesis offers several testable predictions: industry sales will increasingly concentrate in a small number of firms; industries where concentration rises most will have the largest declines in the labor share; the fall in the labor share will be driven largely by between-firm reallocation rather than (primarily) a fall in the unweighted mean labor share within firms; the between-firm reallocation component of the fall in the labor share will be greatest in the sectors with the largest increases in market concentration; and finally, such patterns will be observed not only in U.S. firms, but also internationally. We find support for all of these predictions. 

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Due to a tightening of security measures after the incident that occurred on September 27, we emphasize the need for you to register by email to This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it before Friday 12 at 12:00 pm if you plan to attend the seminar and you haven't register yet. Without registration, you will not be allowed in the seminar room.
You will receive a nominative badge at the entrance. We recommend that you arrive at least 10 minutes before the start of the seminar. 

Location: NBB - Auditorium of the National Bank of Belgium (Room A1)
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