European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics
News
“Congratulations to Claudio Costanzo, winner of the 2026 Kuznets Prize!”
16 October 2025Claudio Costanzo (European Commission’s Joint Research Centre & ECARES) receives the 2026 Kuznets Prize for his FREE READ (https://rdcu.be/eKaC4) article Robots, jobs, and optimal fertility timing, which was published in the Journal of Population Economics (2025), 38, article 51. The annual prize honors the best article published in the Journal of Population Economics in the previous year.
Congratulations to Philippe Aghion — Laureate of the 2025 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel
14 October 2025ECARES warmly congratulates Philippe Aghion on being awarded the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, shared with Joel Mokyr and Peter Howitt. Since the founding of ECARES in 1991, Philippe Aghion has maintained a close and fruitful relationship with our center through numerous academic interactions and collaborations that have deeply enriched our research community. We …
BELSPO BRAIN HAIOPOLICY Midterm Conference September 10th
1 September 2025HAIOPOLICY aims to (i) study the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 on households and firms, (ii) document its implications for inequality in Belgium, and (iii) develop policy recommendations to make the Belgian economy more resilient in response to adverse shocks. To do so, the project: Now nearing the end of the second year of the project, …
Continue reading "BELSPO BRAIN HAIOPOLICY Midterm Conference September 10th"
Publications
Working paper : Can artificial intelligence help improve the financial literacy of primary schools’ students?(2025-13)
Bojidara Doseva, Catherine Dehon, Antonio Estache
Working paper : Europe’s Trade Surplus, International Relative Prices, and the Productivity Growth Gap (2025-12)
Adrian Ifrim, Robert Kollmann, Philipp Pfeiffer, Marco Ratto, Werner Roeger
Working paper : Persistent Global Growth Differences and Euro Area Adjustment: Real Activity, Trade and the Real Exchange Rate (2025-11)
Adrian Ifrim, Robert Kollmann, Philipp Pfeiffer, Marco Ratto, Werner Roeger
The governance and funding of European Rearmament, Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy
Guntram Wolff, Armin Steinbach, Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Wir müssen jetzt massiv in die technologische Aufrüstung investieren (Interview), Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik
Guntram Wolff
Calendar
- 26 November 2025
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CEBRIG Management Café
26 Nov, 18:30 - 21:00"Mission impossible ?
Sauver la planète sans sacrifier notre confort"AlessandroParente
Professeur à l’Ecole polytechnique de Bruxelles, Vice-doyen à la transition etimpact sociétal, Chair du collectif SWIFFTParticipationgratuite mais inscription recommandée via Eventbrite
Location: L'Atelier en Ville, Pl. Stéphanie 6, 1050 Ixelles, BelgiumNov
26"Mission impossible ?
Sauver la planète sans sacrifier notre confort"AlessandroParente
Professeur à l’Ecole polytechnique de Bruxelles, Vice-doyen à la transition etimpact sociétal, Chair du collectif SWIFFTParticipationgratuite mais inscription recommandée via Eventbrite
CEBRIG Management Café
Wednesday, 18:30 - 21:00
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- 28 November 2025
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Nov
28Thomas Dulak, ECARESFriday, 12:15 - 13:30
Location: R42.2.113
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- 30 November 2025
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Nov
30HAPPY BIRTHDAY ECARES 34 !!!Sunday, 00:00 - 23:59
Location:
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- 2 December 2025
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Francesco Chiocchio, CEMFI
02 Dec, 14:00 - 15:30Title: Marital Decline: The Role of House Prices and Parental Coresidence
Abstract: Over the past 40 years in the U.S., marriage rates havedeclined significantly while parental coresidence among young adults hasincreased sharply, especially among the non-college educated. At the same time, rising house prices have outpacedincome growth, decreasing housing affordability. This paper analyzes how theserising prices influence coresidence and marriage decisions. I first present astylized model illustrating the dual impact of higher house prices: theyencourage marriage due to economies of scale but also lead to more individualsliving with parents, decreasing their participation in the marriage market.Then, I develop a quantitative life-cycle model of household formation(marriage and divorce) and housing choices (coresidence, renting, and buying).The model economy is characterized by equilibrium in the marriage and housingmarkets and is calibrated to the 2019 U.S. economy. I use the model for twoexercises. First, I quantify the role of house prices on the marital declinebetween 1980 and 2019. I find that house prices explain around 30% of thedecline in marriage. Additionally, the model can account for the larger drop inmarriage among the non-college educated. Second, I evaluate the effect ofhousing policies and find that a 10% rental subsidy financed by higher taxescan reduce parental coresidence among young adults by 3.3 percentage points,and increase their marriage rates by 1.5 percentage points.
Location: R42.2.113Dec
02Title: Marital Decline: The Role of House Prices and Parental Coresidence
Abstract: Over the past 40 years in the U.S., marriage rates havedeclined significantly while parental coresidence among young adults hasincreased sharply, especially among the non-college educated. At the same time, rising house prices have outpacedincome growth, decreasing housing affordability. This paper analyzes how theserising prices influence coresidence and marriage decisions. I first present astylized model illustrating the dual impact of higher house prices: theyencourage marriage due to economies of scale but also lead to more individualsliving with parents, decreasing their participation in the marriage market.Then, I develop a quantitative life-cycle model of household formation(marriage and divorce) and housing choices (coresidence, renting, and buying).The model economy is characterized by equilibrium in the marriage and housingmarkets and is calibrated to the 2019 U.S. economy. I use the model for twoexercises. First, I quantify the role of house prices on the marital declinebetween 1980 and 2019. I find that house prices explain around 30% of thedecline in marriage. Additionally, the model can account for the larger drop inmarriage among the non-college educated. Second, I evaluate the effect ofhousing policies and find that a 10% rental subsidy financed by higher taxescan reduce parental coresidence among young adults by 3.3 percentage points,and increase their marriage rates by 1.5 percentage points.
Francesco Chiocchio, CEMFI
Tuesday, 14:00 - 15:30
Location: R42.2.113
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- 5 December 2025
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Dec
05XMAS WORKSHOP
Friday, 00:00 - 23:59
Location:
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Dec
05Ignacio Marra de Martiñano, ECARESFriday, 12:15 - 13:30
Location: R42.2.113
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- 9 December 2025
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Heiko Karle, Frankfurt School of Finance
09 Dec, 14:00 - 15:30Title: Selling on Recommender Platforms: DemandBoost versus Customer Migration
Abstract: We develop a model to study the pricing andwelfare implications of recommender platforms---i.e., platforms that providerecommendations about products that match a consumer's preference. Sellersoffer their product on the platform and on their direct channel. Consumers notonly have access to (some) seller's direct channel offerings and the platform'srecommendation, but they can also engage in costly sequential search on theplatform to discover additional products.
We highlight novel trade-offs that occurbecause sellers are in an advantageous position when they are being recommendedbut in a disadvantages position when they try to appeal to consumers via theirdirect channel (which is not based on a recommendation). As a result, ifthe platform raises its fee, inducing sellers to assign greater weight to theirdirect channel sales, the sellers' equilibrium price can fall. Likewise,improving the recommendation algorithm can also lead to a reduction of the equilibriumprice if the platform's commission fee is too large.
We further endogenize the platform'scommission fee and show that the price level decreases as recommendationsimprove if search costs are high and increases if search costs are small. Wealso show that regulating data collection by the platform to reduce the qualityof recommendations raises consumer surplus if search costs are small, but canlower consumer surplus otherwise. Finally, we identify adverse effects ofcapping platform fees and of facilitating disintermediation.
Location: R42.2.113Dec
09Title: Selling on Recommender Platforms: DemandBoost versus Customer Migration
Abstract: We develop a model to study the pricing andwelfare implications of recommender platforms---i.e., platforms that providerecommendations about products that match a consumer's preference. Sellersoffer their product on the platform and on their direct channel. Consumers notonly have access to (some) seller's direct channel offerings and the platform'srecommendation, but they can also engage in costly sequential search on theplatform to discover additional products.
We highlight novel trade-offs that occurbecause sellers are in an advantageous position when they are being recommendedbut in a disadvantages position when they try to appeal to consumers via theirdirect channel (which is not based on a recommendation). As a result, ifthe platform raises its fee, inducing sellers to assign greater weight to theirdirect channel sales, the sellers' equilibrium price can fall. Likewise,improving the recommendation algorithm can also lead to a reduction of the equilibriumprice if the platform's commission fee is too large.
We further endogenize the platform'scommission fee and show that the price level decreases as recommendationsimprove if search costs are high and increases if search costs are small. Wealso show that regulating data collection by the platform to reduce the qualityof recommendations raises consumer surplus if search costs are small, but canlower consumer surplus otherwise. Finally, we identify adverse effects ofcapping platform fees and of facilitating disintermediation.
Heiko Karle, Frankfurt School of Finance
Tuesday, 14:00 - 15:30
Location: R42.2.113
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- 10 December 2025
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Conference : "How Reasons Shape Priors & How Awareness Reshuffles Probabilities"
10 Dec, 00:00 - 23:59Conference jointly organized by ECARES and Times²
The program will be available soon.
Location: R42.2.103Dec
10Conference jointly organized by ECARES and Times²
The program will be available soon.
Conference : "How Reasons Shape Priors & How Awareness Reshuffles Probabilities"
Wednesday, 00:00 - 23:59
Location: R42.2.103
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- 11 December 2025
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Conference : "How Reasons Shape Priors & How Awareness Reshuffles Probabilities"
10 Dec, 00:00 - 23:59Conference jointly organized by ECARES and Times²
The program will be available soon.
Location: R42.2.103Dec
10Conference jointly organized by ECARES and Times²
The program will be available soon.
Conference : "How Reasons Shape Priors & How Awareness Reshuffles Probabilities"
Wednesday, 00:00 - 23:59
Location: R42.2.103
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Stepan Jurajda, CERGE-EI, CZ
11 Dec, 12:15 - 13:45Stepan Jurajda (Associate Professor of Economics at CERGE-EI, CZ will present :
"McMonopsony"
Abstract | Poster
*Please contact Helene.Bertaux@ulb.be if you wish to participate (lunch is provided so please confirm your presence max. one week before the event).Location: On-Site at R42.2.113 and Online*Dec
11Stepan Jurajda (Associate Professor of Economics at CERGE-EI, CZ will present :
"McMonopsony"
Abstract | Poster
*Please contact Helene.Bertaux@ulb.be if you wish to participate (lunch is provided so please confirm your presence max. one week before the event).Stepan Jurajda, CERGE-EI, CZ
Thursday, 12:15 - 13:45
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